WISCONSIN MAYBE THE END ALL FOR THE TRUMP FOR POTUS 2016 ROLL AS THE WISCONSIN NICE MOTTO DOES NOT JIBE WITH THE NY IN YOUR FACE STYLE OF BUSINESS AS CRUZ LEADS 40% TO TRUMPS 30% TO KASICH 21% - AS KASICH PLAYS THE SPOILER FOR HISTORICAL PURPOSES

Wisconsin’s Republican primary election on Tuesday might turn out to be Donald Trump’s “Waterloo.” Okay, that’s not a perfect example; a loss wouldn’t stop him in his tracks, but a defeat in the Badger State would probably stop him from clinching the Republican nomination.
There are many variables, but the simplified explanation goes like this: if Mr Trump loses Wisconsin and if Ted Cruz picks up a good share of  delegates in California’s June 7 primary, then - assuming everyone wins the other states they are expected to win, based on past performances - Mr Trump will fall short of the 1,237 delegates needed to avoid a contested convention.

Now, on the surface, Wisconsin might seem tailor-made for Mr Trump. Unlike Texas and Ohio (the home states of Ted Cruz and John Kasich, respectively), none of his opponents hail from there. And unlike Utah, where he lost badly, Wisconsin is not a caucus, nor does it have a large percentage of Mormons.
Moreover, Mr Trump tends to do well in “rust belt” states where plenty of non-college educated white voters (who do not happen to be Christian evangelicals) reside. What is more, Democrats and independents can vote in the Wisconsin primary, which tends to help Mr Trump.
But Mr Trump appears to be on the verge of getting trounced in the state. According to a recent Marquette University Law School poll (which is considered the gold standard in Wisconsin surveys), Mr Cruz has 40 per cent of the vote, Donald Trump has 30 per cent, and Ohio Gov. John Kasich is at 21 per cent.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/04/02/why-losing-wisconsin-could-cost-donald-trump-the-republican-nomi/