A Russian offensive on NATO territory in the Baltics would overwhelm
underarmed alliance forces in a matter of hours, leaving NATO with a
harsh dilemma: Launch a long, bloody counteroffensive or concede defeat.
That is the conclusion of a new report by Rand Corp., which conducted
a series of elaborate war games from summer 2014 to spring 2015 with
the assistance of numerous American military commands and experts.
"As presently postured, NATO cannot successfully defend the territory of its most exposed members," the Rand Corp. study says.
The findings are likely to come as no surprise to the military's top
officers in Europe, who have been warning that sophisticated Russian
anti-aircraft systems could deny allies quick military access to the
Baltics. Russia has superior numbers of air and ground forces across the
border from the vulnerable Baltic states, which were once part of the
Soviet Union. However, Russia has repeatedly stressed that it has no
territorial designs on the Baltics.
Policymakers must determine whether the risks of potential Russian
aggression are strong enough to demand the kind of reinforcements that
could thwart a Russian assault. The costs of placing such a force in the
region would be substantial but manageable for a NATO alliance with a
collective gross domestic product of more than $35 trillion, Rand says.
The report was issued just days before the release next week of the
Pentagon's 2017 budget, which includes plans to add a brigade's worth of
pre-positioned tanks and other heavy equipment in Europe, where the
Pentagon now rotates one heavy brigade. The U.S. maintains only two
infantry brigades permanently in Europe and no heavy units.
There are about 65,000 troops in total forward stationed. A plan to
quadruple investment in the European Reassurance Initiative to $3.4
billion will add several thousand more rotational troops in a plan to
increase operations along NATO's eastern flank, but falls far short of
Rand's recommendations.
http://www.military.com/daily-news/2016/02/05/report-russia-defeats-nato-in-baltic-war-game.html
"... It is only in this way that we can hope to arrive at truth, and fulfill the great responsibility which we hold to God and our country. Should I keep back my opinions at such a time, through fear of giving offense, I should consider myself as guilty of treason towards my country, and of an act of disloyalty toward the Majesty of Heaven, which I revere above all earthly kings."....I know not what course others may take; but as for me, give me liberty or give me death!"
Saturday, February 6, 2016
IF THE PUTIN WERE TO DRIVE TOWARDS THE BALTIC TO RECOVER POST USSR TERRITORIES - THE EXISTING NATO FORCES WOULD BE OVERWHELMED AT FIRST ACCORDING TO RAND - AS MORE FORCES ARE NEEDED TO DEFEND THE NEW NATO ACQUIRED NATIONS OF THE BALTIC - BUT NATO FORCES WOULD COUNTER ATTACK FOR A PROLONG WAR AS THE PUTIN FOR NOW CONCENTRATES HIS WAR EFFORTS IN SYRIA TO DEFEND THE BASHER REGEME FROM THE THE POTUS BHO BACKED REBELS OF THE SO CALLED ARAB SPRING THAT HAS OVERSTRETCHED ITS COILS LIKE THE SLINKY
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